Two clerics dressed in red garments perform a religious ritual at an altar adorned with golden objects.

Neither Italian nor Filipino: These 2 Spaniards have a strong chance of becoming Pope

The Vatican chimney has already emitted two black smoke signals, so the decision is still hanging in the air

Amid the global anticipation for the succession of Pope Francis, several names are already emerging among the favorites. After two black smoke signals, the polls are increasingly narrowing down who will be the next Holy Father. Among these names, some Spaniards also appear who might be in luck, although they are not the first.

One of the favorites is Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the current Secretary of State of the Holy See. However, although Parolin starts with an advantage, with around 40 votes secured, his profile generates both support and reservations within the College of Cardinals. At 70 years old and with a long diplomatic career, Parolin was appointed in 2013 by Francis himself. 

Antonio Cañizares Llovera in religious attire appears in front of an aerial view of St. Peter's Square in the Vatican, accompanied by two speech bubbles with question marks.
One of the Spanish cardinals who could become Pope | en.catalunyadiari.com, Arzobispado de Valencia, Josepons28

As for the Spaniards, they are Cristóbal López and Ángel Fernández Artime. Their profiles, more pastoral and closer to Francis's line, are generating sympathy among cardinals seeking continuity with the outgoing pontificate. Undoubtedly, news that would fill thousands of faithful in Spain with happiness.

The profile of one of the candidates in the Vatican

Nevertheless, Parolin is a clear candidate, considering that he has also been Francis's closest collaborator. His experience as a skillful negotiator and deep knowledge of the complex global political map position him as an ideal figure to lead the Church. Additionally, he is considered a point of balance between the progressive and conservative sectors of the Vatican, giving him an image of moderation.

However, the main objection to his candidacy lies in his limited pastoral experience. Unlike Pope Francis, who was Archbishop of Buenos Aires, Parolin has never led a parish or a diocese. For some cardinals, this lack represents too abrupt a contrast with the style of the outgoing pontiff.

The most commented symbolic moment took place at the close of the Pro Eligendo Pontifice Mass, held on Wednesday in St. Peter's Basilica. In a gesture full of meaning, the Dean of the College of Cardinals, Giovanni Battista Re, approached Parolin. At that moment, he embraced him and clearly pronounced the word Auguri into the microphone, which in Italian can mean "congratulations" or "good luck."

A cleric in religious attire in front of an aerial view of St. Peter's Square in the Vatican with two speech bubbles with question marks.
A Spaniard could be the new Pope | en.catalunyadiari.com, Arzobispado de Granada, Josepons28

Two black smoke signals from the conclave

In the Vatican, where every gesture is scrutinized, many interpreted it as a tacit sign of support for his candidacy. Despite his initial favoritism, the papal election is often full of unexpected twists. If Parolin fails to consolidate a broad consensus in the first votes, his chances could quickly dissipate.

In that scenario, other candidates, including two Spanish cardinals who have gained notoriety in recent years, could take center stage and surprise everyone. Will Parolin be the one to appear on the balcony of St. Peter's, or will an unexpected pope emerge? The conclave has begun, and everything is still to be decided.